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Table 1 Estimated numbers of new older gastric cancer cases and the incidence in the highest gastric cancer risk area in China, 2010 to 2019 (per 100,000 population)

From: Trends of older gastric cancer incidence, mortality, and survival in the highest gastric cancer risk area in China: 2010–2019 and prediction to 2024

Ìý

Total

Ìý

Male

Ìý

Female

Ìý

Urban

Ìý

Rural

Incidence

ASIRC

ASIRW

Ìý

Incidence

ASIRC

ASIRW

Ìý

Incidence

ASIRC

ASIRW

Ìý

Incidence

ASIRC

ASIRW

Ìý

Incidence

ASIRW

ASIRC

Ìý

2010

439.65

427.39

422.18

Ìý

656.25

637.77

629.50

Ìý

220.67

214.67

212.49

Ìý

475.47

459.89

454.06

Ìý

324.56

320.40

317.52

Ìý

2011

427.30

420.39

423.63

Ìý

629.34

622.13

625.02

Ìý

214.18

208.66

212.01

Ìý

448.09

437.68

441.33

Ìý

361.63

358.85

360.82

Ìý

2012

463.18

467.18

469.40

Ìý

692.39

687.10

686.27

Ìý

238.57

252.30

257.54

Ìý

435.57

432.76

433.56

Ìý

580.19

615.36

614.38

Ìý

2013

469.55

461.41

464.69

Ìý

718.72

707.67

715.50

Ìý

226.33

219.16

217.69

Ìý

503.74

494.24

498.61

Ìý

356.63

356.99

356.09

Ìý

2014

492.53

485.96

484.00

Ìý

766.37

755.17

754.17

Ìý

224.36

222.05

218.44

Ìý

503.68

492.78

493.17

Ìý

442.19

467.13

452.09

Ìý

2015

487.73

483.15

484.65

Ìý

758.72

752.69

749.77

Ìý

222.97

220.48

225.50

Ìý

537.98

531.67

537.42

Ìý

312.39

318.59

306.46

Ìý

2016

430.74

423.75

421.17

Ìý

681.32

672.24

667.78

Ìý

189.83

185.87

184.16

Ìý

470.30

462.41

463.64

Ìý

284.06

291.29

274.23

Ìý

2017

447.79

445.83

440.67

Ìý

714.52

711.81

702.28

Ìý

191.45

190.85

188.82

Ìý

468.17

464.33

460.85

Ìý

370.35

394.47

381.88

Ìý

2018

374.40

374.18

367.41

Ìý

565.98

566.58

560.34

Ìý

189.62

189.41

181.47

Ìý

398.63

398.96

393.74

Ìý

272.45

282.18

269.46

Ìý

2019

330.40

334.38

326.27

Ìý

513.25

517.61

505.50

Ìý

157.87

161.61

157.18

Ìý

330.91

334.72

327.73

Ìý

327.48

354.37

335.05

Ìý

AAPC (%)

-2.59

-2.32

-2.56

Ìý

-3.64

-3.34

-2.44

Ìý

-3.12

-2.17

-2.44

Ìý

-2.58

-2.24

-2.42

Ìý

-3.15

-2.77

-3.29

Ìý

95% CI (%)

(-5.14 to 0.04)

(-5.02 to 0.46)

(-5.23 to 0.18)

Ìý

(-8.02 to 0.94)

(-7.58 to 1.10)

(-5.81 to 1.05)

Ìý

(-6.00 to -0.15)

(-6.15 to 1.97)

(-6.78 to 2.10)

Ìý

(-5.77 to 0.72)

(-5.25 to 0.87)

(-5.27 to 0.53)

Ìý

(-8.68 to 2.72)

(-8.78 to 3.63)

(-9.40 to 3.24)

Ìý

P

0.06

0.10

0.07

Ìý

0.12

0.14

0.17

Ìý

0.04

0.30

0.29

Ìý

0.12

0.16

0.11

Ìý

0.25

0.34

0.27

  1. ASIRC, age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population; ASIRW, age-standardized incidence rate by World Segi’s standard population; AAPC: average annual percentage change